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November brings big possibilities


Posted: November 2, 2012 - 12:27am
Oklahoma State quarterback Wes Lunt are among the teams remaining on Texas Tech's schedule.  (AP Photo/Brody Schmidt)  Brody Schmidt
Brody Schmidt
Oklahoma State quarterback Wes Lunt are among the teams remaining on Texas Tech's schedule. (AP Photo/Brody Schmidt)
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After Texas Tech got off to a 4-0 start, Red Raiders coach Tommy Tuberville tempered expectations by saying his team probably wouldn’t be favored to win another game. But on consecutive Saturdays in October, Tech stunned West Virginia and won a tough one at TCU.

Just like that, the Red Raiders got bowl eligibility out of the way, and all things seemed possible.

Not surprisingly, Kansas State thumped Tech 55-24 last week, taking the Red Raiders out of Big 12 Conference title contention.

Nearly anything else is still possible, though, provided the Red Raiders put together a good November. Even a 10-win season, something that seemed preposterous going into the year, isn’t out of the question.

Tech hosts Texas on Saturday, with the winner gaining an edge on the other for Cotton Bowl or Alamo Bowl consideration. Those are the top two bowls after the BCS for which the Big 12 has contracts.

The final month of the regular season promises to be interesting. Here’s how it breaks down week by week:



When/where: Saturday in Lubbock

Opponent record: Texas 6-2, 3-2 in the Big 12

Tech can win because: The Longhorns’ defense has been shockingly bad, despite the presence of several players regarded as all-Big 12 timber before the season. David Ash’s growing pains as a sophomore quarterback doesn’t help the UT cause either.

Don’t take it for granted because: You think Mack Brown hasn’t looked at the tape of last year’s Tech game, when Texas pulverized the Red Raiders’ front seven and rolled up 439 rushing yards? Nearly all the same offensive linemen are back, as well as 230-pound running back Joe Bergeron, who carried 29 times for 191 yards and three touchdowns against the Red Raiders.



When/where: Nov. 10 in Lubbock

Opponent record: Kansas 1-7, 0-5 in the Big 12

Tech can win because: Kansas has lost 17 Big 12 games in a row. What more do you need to know?

Don’t take it for granted because: Kansas running back James Sims has four 100-yard rushing performances in a row — against Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Texas. And the Jayhawks play solid defense about every other week, holding TCU and Oklahoma State to 20 points and Texas to 21.


Oklahoma State

When/where: Nov. 17 in Stillwater, Okla.

Opponent record: Oklahoma State 5-2, 3-1 in the Big 12

Tech can win because: Remember that Oklahoma State defense last season that gobbled up 44 turnovers — five more than any other team in Division I? Yeah, well, there’s some serious regression to the mean going on in Stillwater. The Cowboys have only nine takeaways this year and rank 94th in turnover ratio. And turnovers might decide this game with as evenly matched as these two teams seem to be.

Don’t take it for granted because: This will be senior day in Stillwater, giving the Cowboys that little extra emotional spark. On an OSU senior day in 2005, a Cowboys team on a five-game losing streak upset a one-loss Tech team, ultimately costing the Red Raiders a 10-win season.



When/where: Nov 24 at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington

Opponent record: Baylor 3-4, 0-4 in the Big 12

Tech can win because: Baylor can’t stop anybody. Even Iowa State quarterback Steele Jantz, who’s been benched for ineffectiveness each of the last two years, lit up the Bears last week for a career-high five touchdown passes. Jantz tied a school record with 36 completions. If one of the Big 12’s lowest rated passers can do that, imagine what kind of day Seth Doege can have against the nation’s No. 118 pass defense.

Don’t take it for granted because: Baylor might well be fighting for bowl eligibility. Beating Kansas this week would give the Bears four wins, and there’s a good chance they’ll go into Thanksgiving weekend needing to beat Tech and Oklahoma State to qualify for the postseason. Not to mention Art Briles’ Baylor teams always give Tech trouble.


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The Rest of the Season

It is comforting to know that we conveyed the title "Worst Defense in the World" to Mack Brown. Mack's "Pack of Rat Terriers Chasing a Humvee" defense is accomplished with 9-Star recruits--according Mack this year's honor as Worst Coach in the Nation. Actually, with a 13-12 record the last two years, he's the 2-time defending champion.

I don't dislike Mack. Mack was great. But Mack is done.

As for the rest of the season, if Tech wins 3 of 4 and goes 9-3 they will have had a spectacular season. Tubs will take his pick from Tennessee, Arkansas, or others. We're going to lose Kaufman at any rate.

8-4 a very good year. 7-5 a disappointment. 6-6 a "no progress" catastrophe.

10-2 and you get A&M in the Cotton Bowl. A match that could sell 200,000 tickets.

Let's finish off this thing. Play well--not great, and you'll beat this Texas squad.


But wait...

You mean Tubs would job shop after the season? Well obviously if thats the case, the members of the order of hance shall descend like locusts (that may be a stretch, there arent very many hance lovers) to bash him. Look at how they skewered other coaches for the same thing and they couldnt even provide proof said coaches ever did that. Far be it for me to be a rumor monger or lend any credence whatsoever to the 104.3 FM hance spokespersons, but they themselves reported tubs was a guest on a sports radio program in Arkansas who probably is making a list and checkin it twice, and tubs likely is near the top of that list. But Facts, I dont think he would go, would he? Given that those in the bespectacled nuclear generals camp used "coach x was never loyal to ttu. he was job shopping every offseason" as a reason coach x had to go, when all the other reasons sounded so lame, or were outright unsubstantiated. Those of us admire his highness trust that he would never allow what has to be a record number of major coaching changes in plus or minus 3 years. That would bespeak of mismanagement, and we know better than that, dont we?


I hope we don't lose anyone

Facts that's a good analysis, but I don't know that Tuberville or Kaufman would leave so soon. Coyote Coach Leach, oh I mean "Coach X" was shopping around for a while, but we have no proof yet of Tuberville shopping around. Either way it didn't really matter if "X" shopped around, and I never gave it much credence, just like you pushing out speculation about Tuberville. If we have a 10-2 season or even 9-3 it is proof to me that Tuberville has started to turn the corner and don't think he would leave just like that. I could be wrong, but we'll have to wait and see. All I care about this week is beating Texas. I hope we blow them out! It looks possible considering how they have played all year, but I know they would love to beat is in the Jones. I'm going with 48-40 Tech, but hoping for 52-17 Tech! Go Tech beat Texas!!!


Hold on there Al

My point is there is no proof coach x (we're not supposed to say his name Al, unless it is in a blatant negative light, per the hancer "move on" rules) ever job shopped, unless you have some. Ive been asking for proof of that for two years and have yet to see any. Secondly, I never "pushed out speculation" tubs was shopping around. That came straight from the afternoon Radio Free Hance guys on double t 104.3. I thought at the time I heard it, that it kind of defeated their little spin campaign. They reported it, not me. And shortly thereafter played an interview from last spring where he implied he would have no interest in the Arkansas job. Now I dont know what went on at Ole Miss, but its my understanding he may have made a similar statement regarding a different school at some point in time. Again, I wasnt there. Who knows why he elected to do an interview with a radio program from a state where their major university will be looking for a coach at the end of this season, or why he felt he need to do that interview during the week of the Texas game. And I agree, the most important thing is beating UT tomorrow.


Always an issue

For every program this is problem, but in the last 30 years this has only effected Texas Tech one time. McWilliams left for UT after his one year stint in the Hub City. I think many coaches understand that the pressure in Lubbock is much different from other areas, we want wins, but the fan base is usually happy with a few signature wins and a bowl each year. Granted the Tech job will never be the highest paid, but definitely coaches won't be on the hot seat for not winning the conference championship or national championship. I can't speak for Kaufman, but he doesn't seem the type to jump ship, remember he stayed at UNC until that job ended. Again we will wait and see, but more importantly we need to blow out UT. This is an opportunity for payback, from last years miserable performance. I just listened to the local sport show, they are hoping for a miracle, similar to the 2010 Nebraska game. I haven't heard this much desperation in many years.

That said, we need to be careful of being too confident. Only because of Gray, I would love to see Tech win four in a row against the Horns. I truly can't blame him for picking UT over Tech, but it would make me happy anyway.


All Very Good Comments

Adam/Aus is right. And McWilliams proved to be a catastrophe.

Coyote, as usual, you are right. But Coyote, the difference between Tubs and Leach is that Tubs knows how to "play" the AD and the Chancellor and the Inner Circle. Leach simply couldn't bring himself to get past the low mentality of Gerald--and that precluded all else. One other observation, Coyote, on the subject of Jerry Turner: Turner went nuts that Leach was shopping his job. Yet in December, 2009, Turner had very recently changed law firms because he could MAKE MORE MONEY. It's called hypycrisy. Or arrogance. Or egotism.

But Al, this coaching job merits attention. The "66er's" from last year were turned around against all odds--and it will get attention. I simply have a feeling that these very successful "out-of-town" coaches will move on. And, of course, I hope I'm wrong

I just want an ordinary game tomorrow, which means Texas can't beat Tech. And, certainly, that's what the Italians in Vegas think.



The only thing I ever heard remotely factual in re coach x and job shopping is that he was advised by mr bailey to do so during/ after the contract negotiation supposedly (no proof) because the nuclear narcissist reverend was embarrassed that the fans supported coach x throughout the process (true) and most held the chapels namesake in great contempt (also true). I just found it strange that the chancellors mouthpiece radio station chose to report what could be construed to be infidelity to the university.


Headline from Arkansas ...Say it isn't so

"Tommy Tuberville Talks How To Win At A Place Like Arkansas With Bo Mattingly " by Chris Bahn, 11/1/2012

An interesting story about TT and his infidelity! What's up with this? Sure is a lot of the Arkansas native talk, but will his TTU record count or is all that matters is his time in the SEC and Auburn?




I would hate to think mojo, wscott, atxraider and the other 3 hance disciples are missing all this fun stuff.

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